To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

When we set our expectations and operate based on the sequence of events that unfolded the last time a similar situation has occurred, we surrender to history.

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. author of Chained to the Desk in a Hybrid World: A Guide to Balance. Sometimes our negativity bias turns our future predictions ...

Prediction markets have moved from a niche academic concept into one of the fastest-growing areas of modern market infrastructure. Once confined to election forecasting and small experimental ...

“In 2026, more news organizations will understand that people don’t always want an article. Sometimes they just want clarity.” Every December, when Nieman Lab asks for predictions, I think: Why ask ...

Predictions are hard, especially about the future. So said the leading philosopher of the past century, Yogi Berra, although originally it was attributed to Niels Bohr, the quantum physicist, which ...

Artificial intelligence has painted a startling picture of human evolution, suggesting that by the year 3025, our species could bear little resemblance to its current form. Prolonged digital immersion ...